Hi,
In my hometown, I had many friends who had just started their career in stock market. I had not disclosed my mishappening with anybodyelse but at a party I told to a friend that I had 20000 shares of JP Ind. @ 9.80 (which were still lying at Broker). So I asked him about its current price. I had mentally booked loss @ 9.80 and thought since it had come down from 60/- so it might go to 20-25 rupees. So it will be better to wait for some time. Now after that unexpected profit, I was mentally a bit relaxed. In the nextday, my friend said JP was quoting at 13/- (before it was quoting between 10-11.50). So it also gave me some confidence.
After 15 days I came back to Delhi and discussed the current status of JP Ind with my broker. He told me he had the news of 30/- within next 2-3 month timeframe. In fact within the next 15-20 days JP Ind touched 19/- rupees. So I thought, it will be better to wait for a month and dispose all shares around 25/-. By thinking so, I did not trade for next one month. But contrast to my belief, JP Ind had come down to 12/- in the next 10 days. In fact, I literally cried for not selling at 19/-. But in the next 15 days, it again touched 17/- rupees and I finally sold all at NSE at 16/- per share. I had realised 3,17,000/- after deducting brokerage. Now I had to pay 2,85,000/- to my broker to settle all my dues. I felt better than the previous situation and thought seriously about day trading. At that time there were no Tips (market call) services. So I subscribed to Dalal Street Flash News for short- term trading as I was completely ignorant of charting. It was a weekly news letter and I subscribed for six months. It published on every Sunday's evening but to my disbelief I received it around Thursday by post. So in the next one month, in fact I incurred a loss of 25,000/- rupees in trading because of that news letter and I completely lost faith from that news letter. The subscription of that news letter cost me around 25,000/- rupees which was a complete waste. Now 50,000/- loss in month put me in great pressure. I even couldn't able to concentrate in anything. First time I saw some charts in Dalal Street Flash News although I could not understand them. In the meantime, I saw a person at the broker's office who was always looking at market depth screen and always asked the dealer to show (Shift + F10) in NEAT terminal. Initially I could not understand this but gradually I asked the dealer about (shift + F10), he told me this was the Hourly movement of that particular scrip. After gazing for sometimes I could not able to draw any conclusion since every day that data had been changing. One day, I asked that person regarding (Shift + F10). He told me " Chart banao sab samajh main aa jayega". In fact I did not know how to draw charts. One of my dealer friend casually said just buy a graph paper & plot the price. I took that line very seriously and immediately bought a graph book from the market. From the next day I started to collect the market movement data of 5 scrips. After plotting for 7-8 days, things started to get clear. These were only bar charts without opening and closing prices. It was the hourly range. Since there was only one goal in my mind to repay all the dues of my broker as soon as possible. At this point of time, I had around 1,00,000/- as balance. So after plotting for 10 days, these graphs fascinated me very much. I started to gaze these charts for hours in my room. Finally I requested that person to give me some past datas. After some initial hesitation, he gave me past 60 days data of 5 scrips for 1000/- rupees. I had to write those datas from his diary. For that purpose I had to go to his home.
Although I was very raw in the market, but at the same time I started to understand the mechanism slowly. First I noticed that when a move (upward or downward) started it lasted for 6-7 bars. In those six-seven bars, not a single bar breaks the low of the previous bar in an uptrend and no bar breaks the high of its previous bar in case of down trend. The most important thing that I noticed was the last bar (range) which was biggest among these six or seven bars. After that bar the trend reversed almost 80% times. Now the biggest mystery was how to find that trend.
Till then
With Best Wishes
Good Bye