Afin's trading diary

in similar fashion...

If the CEO starts showing up on Business Channel more frequently than normal. Exit the stock first, think later.
:couchpotato::DD
 
duly noted that everything is on shaky ground here. Looks like a confused trader if at all I can call you that. Nothing to learn here then, just silly rants. good luck to your mediocre diary. thankfully there are selfless people who have posted which I can make use of. Just that some one is asking uncomfortable questions does not qualify for trolling
I was indeed a confused discretionary trader. I became a mechanical trader now. Troll :troll:

“At any rate, concerning our question about discretionary versus quantitative traders: Between 1996 and 2001, the average annual return on the systematic (or quantitative) group was 7.12 percent, versus only 0.58 percent for the discretionary group. What’s more, the systematic index outperformed the discretionary index in five out of six years in the test period. These statistics suggest that we may want to focus our trading on the systematic side.” Lars Kestner, in Quantitative Trading Strategies.

“Those traders who have confidence in their own trades, who trust themselves to do what needs to be done without hesitation, are the ones who become successful. They no longer fear the erratic behavior of the market. They learn to focus on the information that helps them spot opportunities to make a profit, rather than focusing on the information that reinforces their fears.” Mark Douglas
 
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I have been trolled . I have been termed confused and my diary termed mediocre. The joke's on you.
I was definitely a confused trader and a mediocre one at that when I was using a discretionary trading system. Not anymore.

“Those traders who have confidence in their own trades, who trust themselves to do what needs to be done without hesitation, are the ones who become successful. They no longer fear the erratic behavior of the market. They learn to focus on the information that helps them spot opportunities to make a profit, rather than focusing on the information that reinforces their fears.” Mark Douglas
i do not know what you are talking abt discretionary or mechanical. i am yet learning, and one college mate told to check this forum. saw vijay sir,subhadip sir and xray sir thread and very much impressed.
 
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This is what is happening. Given this scenario and others I had predicted from the past, I won't be too utterly surprised if we make new lows in nifty.

How much? I just leave that to the fancy of your imagination.
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My evolution as a trader is for everyone to scrutinize on this very diary. From the depths of despair to absolute hopelessness by using a completely shaky trading system that followed no set rules, that followed no defined instruments to trade, entering and exiting trades just because I was on a whim and hoped and expected price to crash or to go up because of some arbitrary reason that only existed in my mind, I committed all sorts of amateur mistakes. Over time I have matured and stopped committing those mistakes.

I am also not here for the business of teaching a method. It is something I have arrived at after nearly 5 years of blood letting and losing a lot of my hard earned money to the markets just because I did not have a direction. I was a mess until that point in time for following unsteady and shaky ground methods that followed no defined rules for entries and exits.

I now have a money making coca cola formula that gives me a superb strike rate and minimises my perceived set of risks. I arrived at it after a lot of pain. I am surely not expected to hand it out on a platter to someone. You cannot simply walk into Elon Musk's office and ask him the design patents to the Space X reusable Space Dragon rocket. This is the same. The allegory fits perfectly fine because it is as much disruptive. It is not my problem that this viewpoint does not agree with yours and causes mental and emotional distress.

If someone wants to peruse this diary, let it be from a trading psych point of view. One of our esteemed and highly distinguished members - madankumar has said that "psychology is like a finger print and is unique". I cannot agree with that viewpoint more. One can have a great method but with the absence of proper discipline and erratic behavior it is bound to collapse like a house of cards. I might post one odd chart from time to time on this diary but even that is besides the point. The main focus is on the trading psych side of things and having an internal locus of control.

So the following is my approach and I repeat this is my approach to trading: (I am adapting this from a previous post of mine - https://www.traderji.com/community/threads/afins-trading-diary.108034/page-11#post-1383481)

1. Have 1 to 2 scrips for tracking and execute trades only based on those two.
2. Stick to your defined method and do not multi task and most importantly wait for entries to happen.
3. Follow a mechanical system and then scale it up exponentially- one will be surprised at the quantum leaps made. Scale can and will only be achieved by means of having a mechanical system.

Finally a quote to sign this off:

“At any rate, concerning our question about discretionary versus quantitative traders: Between 1996 and 2001, the average annual return on the systematic (or quantitative) group was 7.12 percent, versus only 0.58 percent for the discretionary group. What’s more, the systematic index outperformed the discretionary index in five out of six years in the test period. These statistics suggest that we may want to focus our trading on the systematic side.” Lars Kestner, in Quantitative Trading Strategies.
 
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Following are my cash market picks for the next 6 months atleast based on the current corona virus theme.

These are strictly cash market trades to be bought without using any leverages or margins and are based on my own composite custom indicator.
  1. GMMP Faudler
  2. IPCA Labs
  3. Astra Zeneca
 
I am not 100% certain that this quote is attributed to Walt Disney, but nevertheless I like it.

 
Wow. Dow is up so much and SGX Nifty too!

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