Trading NR7 setup

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AW10

Well-Known Member
Vicky, to trade stock for 1 month period, u need to be looing at weekly chart and daily.. and try to be no the right side of daily trend.
That rules of chart reading / market behaviour do not change much with the timeframe.

Bigger timeframe, bigger stoploss, bigger profit, less number of trades.
Smaller timeframe, smaller SL and smaller profit, more trades.

I am not sure, how comfortable you are in that.. but if u just define few rules for yourself to read direction of trend, sign of trend reversal, and strength of trend.. that is more then
enough. Market generates too much noise and we need to learn to cut that noise and interpret it. One or 2 bars of move does not change the direction. We need more info to
make the decision.

Whenever u take a position, ask yourself following question
1) What is the current trend of stock in my trading timeframe (say for swing trading, u decide to look at daily chart and get this trend from daily chart)
2) At what price level, my view about current trend will change.
3) What is the possible target points on my chart.
4) What is your Entry, stoploss, and exit levels, and hence Is Reward to risk ratio justify taking the risk.

And just trade in the direction of the trend.

Don't get emotional with the position. We use ITC products, ITC has great mgmt, that all is fine to join ITC as employee. In my view, they are irrelevent if one wants to make money trading
ITC stock. When market goes down, ITC will also fall.. and if you timeframe is 1 month, then u may be holding a loser trade in hand. With each day's loss u will start falling more and more in
love with this stock cause pain of cutting loss will be too much.
Hence, I always sugggest to know the point where your view change about trend.

As per my reading of current ITC chart,, below 219 level, there are many pattern that will give sell signals. The price is well below the downward sloping trend line... the upmove (as per my reading) when it fell below 230, about 5 days back. Thats when it made Lower High which is Confirmation for trend reversal after break of trend line, and making lower low.

Next possible support for this is around 190 level. On the upside, the resistence zone is between 240 and 250.

Stock selection is for swing trading can be very complicated or simple. As a simple rule, I will suggest
- Pick your subset of stocks from 2 or 3 sector. All over the media we know about the hot sectors.
- Select Nifty companies for those sector
- Selection CNX Midcap companies for those sectors.. This might give u about 20/25 companies which is more then enough I guess.
- If you have time, then analyse them for 4 qustion given above and select the stock with good reward risk ratio.

Returns in Trading are not generated by stock pick but by how we manage the risk and take profits. Money is made/lost by our Exits... not by entries. So do focus on those factors. Most of us ignore them.

Hope this helps
Happy Trading.
 

AW10

Well-Known Member
Quoting a post written by a technical analyst of CNBC TV 18. Just for information as it is related to Narrow Range
"Thursday, August 20, 2009
Narrow Range ready for big move
For the past three days, the Nifty has compressed its action between a range - 4500 to 4380. This is good news, because such a narrow range is not likely to be sustained. Therefore, a breakout / breakdown is imminent. What will be the direction? Why not let the market tell us this.
wildeazoscar writes in comments - "And what is the big move target if 4730 is broken on upside? At least an amount equivalent of the trading range? That should guarantee 5660 at least!!"
Here is a valid point, and the I have thought about it, without reaching a conclusion. The Nifty is in a large trading zone between 3930 - 4730 approximately. A breakout should see an 800 point move (width of the trading range) which gives 5530. On the downside we have a target of 3130. For most of us, 3130 is easier to accept since we did see these levels just six months ago, but 5530?
Well, among numerous posibilities - (1) The upside target is reached in many months, with lot of volatility, (2) The target is not touched at all, (3) The Nifty creates the mother of all bubbles, taking itself to 7200 (target for the inverted head and shoulderwhich gets confirmed around 4760).
For 3930 to breakdown, we will enter a bear market. Why not? If the two reliance siblings keep on fighting, the Govt could one day announce gas a a national resource (put the gas under govt control) and that will bring the market down to 3100.

So, take one step at a time. Currently, we are looking at a narrow range. That breakout / breakdown will give a trending move. "
Thanks for sharing that piece of info from CNBC. While getting this type of info as input what we forget to analyse are - , what is the timeframe ? What may happen from now till that timeframe ? Does that suit my requirement ? Am I comfortable with -ive as well as +ive ? What if it doesn't happen ? TIME is very important dimension which is ignored in such articles.

It took me lot of time to discount such info overload from media..and make up my mind based on what I see. Now I TRADE WHAT I SEE, rather then WHAT I THINK.
I also think, we will be heading up to 7000/ 10000 level.. But those days are far... Market eventually reflects the economy and untill economy doesn't zoom, market will not.
And looking many factors around I think, economy is getting better but certainly not at a stage where it can zoom. Our economy flourished by supplying what we have to western market who were ready to pay us. If nobody is ready to pay us, then how will we earn more. By adopting the cycle of shifting money from left pocket to right pocket i.e. govt collecting from tax payers and distributing to industries and later again collecting from taxpayers, how are we going to get rich. I find it difficult to digest at this stage. Reality today is employees in western world are still loosing jobs, they are increasing their saving (not spending), companies are still talking about cost mgmt (i.e cost cutting), not about growth and new investment.

And untill that happens, market will continue to follow its own cycle/ logic and go thru all phases. Market gives us opportunities every day so rather then getting disturb with such views, I will trade the present. The present chart which is giving more reliable me picture of tomorrow or next few weeks.

Happy Trading
 
Stocks which are on NR7 day on 21st August 2009
Code:
[B]STOCK		 [/B]
		HIGH	LOW	
ANDHRA BANK	89.65	88	
APOLLO TYRES	40.55	39.35	
BHARAT FORGE	220.5	212.2	
BIOCON		216.9	212.05	2 Nr 7 Day
CUMMINS		320	306.9	
GLAXOSMITHKLINE	1446.15	1425	2 Nr 7 Day
IDBI		96.9	94.55	2 Nr 7 Day
IFCI		52.5	51	
INDIAN OVERSEAS	80.35	79.1	
JAIPRAKASH ASSOC211.15	204.5	2 Nr 7 Day
LT		1489	1450	2 Nr 7 Day
MARUTI		1390	1348.75	
MPHASIS		525	510.05	
MRPL		81.4	79.75	2 Nr 7 Day
PATNI		404.95	390	
RAYMOND		163.5	160.1	
SAIL		162.9	159	2 Nr 7 Day
SESA GOA	218	211.5	
SUZLON		87.3	84.25	2 Nr 7 Day
SYNDICATE BANK	77.7	75.85	
TATASTEEL	447.7	434.1	2 Nr 7 Day
ULTRATECH	715	703.3	2 Nr 7 Day
[/QUOTE]
 

rohangawale

Well-Known Member
Nr7 triggered on 21st aug are:

Code:
[B]STOCK		HIGH		LOW[/B]
L&T		1489		1450.15
MARUTI		1390		1348.75
SAIL		162.9		159
SUZLON ENERGY	87.3		84.25
TATA STEEL	447.7		434.1
 
NR7 Days on 24th August are:

Code:
[B]STOCK		HIGH		LOW[/B]

ABB		728.5		713
ACC		803.9		780
RELINFRA	1147		1126.05
AMBUJA		100.8		98.3
IDBI		99		97		3 NR 7 Day
MAH & MAH	817.7		802.5
MRPL		82.9		816.5		3 NR 7 DAY
RELCAP		834.5		816.1
TATAPOWER	1337.65		1310.25
TATA STEEL	460		452		3 NR 7 DAY
APOLLO TYRES	41.2		40		2 NR 7 DAY
CIPLA		263.5		258.1
HERO HONDA	1536.95		1490
INFOSYS		2084.4		2050.65
KOTAK MAHINDRA	743.9		725
SUNPHARMA	1204.95		1187
BANK OF INDIA	315.9		308.75
CORPORATIONBANK	400		385.25
GAIL		346		337.8
JSW STEEL	724		710
MOSER BAER	87.6		86.05
SAIL		167.25		164.45		3 NR 7 DAY
TATA COMM	514.75		501.05
WIPRO		527		515
SESA GOA	223.45		218.65		2 NR 7 DAY
AXIS BANK	913		892
NATIONAL ALUM	340.5		332
SYNDICATE BANK	79.9		78.05
GLENMARK	217.7		209.2
TTML		33.95		33.3
BHARTI		418.65		412
PNB		688.9		676.25
UNION BANK	212.5		209.2
IDFC		136.9		132.85
SUZLON		89.9		87.5		3 NR 7 DAY
RNRL		82.95		81.35
RPL		122.25		120.6
PFC		224.7		220.05
DLF		398.5		388.7
REL POWER	159.95		157.65
RELIANCE	1980.9		1948.6
 
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