Sitting without any position and waiting for next breakout is the strategy today
Currently i have no crude position. Because there is some reason.
Reason 1: Currently Nymex Crude is trading near the supporting zone. So this is not a time to sell.
Reason 2: Nymex crude is very weak below 100$. So this is also not the time to buy. Anytime there is more chance for downside movement
Reason 3: INR did not support sell signal. INR opened gap down. but it fulfilled the gap. it is trading near day's high. So INR is trendless now
Reason 4: My Downside target was 5900 for october contract. but 5959 is the target for november contract. But It made a low 6025. So There is no need to wait for the exact target
Reason 5: Psychologically, crude is trading down for last two days. So due to short covering and profit booking, it may go some upside.
Reason 6: General Expectation around the world is " Crude will break 6000". But market makers may create the up movement from current levels and they make take their money.
Reason 7: Monday Crude data last week was very bearish. but today wednesday crude data may give some more volatility on the higher side and also lower side.
Final conclusion:- Crude should close above 6153 on daily basis. or Crude should close below 5900 on daily basis. Otherwise there is no trend now. There is no position now.
This is called " The silence of the Tamil Trader after the storm"