Nifty Open Interest Analysis

Status
Not open for further replies.

SexyTrader

Well-Known Member
Things not looking good for Bulls... out of 9L, 3L have already left the battlefield... people are ditching the sinking ship fast... today if we dont have more than 12% addition in OI, things look ominous for Bulls...
Bears are smiling all the way... i remember seeing 5600PE at 5Re yesterday .. no guessing where you would be with just 25K of investment... need to find a way to trade these moves...
More will be back tomorrow :thumb:
 

trdstudent

Well-Known Member
A strong upmove not ruled out... Japan 2% China 3% UP UP UP !!!

5700 added 10L OI today... pretty strong.

Today uplegs have vol, down legs only 10%

Lets see.
Apprx 1L is dwlding in btwn 5700CE and 5700PE :) r they mttr? tchncally 5680 is done on spot . Last stop 5665 is in the corner ..... so bulls r fighting real hrd :)
 
Why CE Anup? Go with the trend. At a pullback buy PEs for easy returns.
Well said... we always hope against hope... we need to trade without bias.. watch the screen and take trade accordingly...writing 5700 CE would have worked well today... 90 levels.. now 60 odd with expiry only helping it and in line with large OI build up
 

jamit_05

Well-Known Member
Things not looking good for Bulls... out of 9L, 3L have already left the battlefield... people are ditching the sinking ship fast... today if we dont have more than 12% addition in OI, things look ominous for Bulls...
Bears are smiling all the way... i remember seeing 5600PE at 5Re yesterday .. no guessing where you would be with just 25K of investment... need to find a way to trade these moves...
Apprx 1L is dwlding in btwn 5700CE and 5700PE r they mttr? tchncally 5680 is done on spot . Last stop 5665 is in the corner ..... so bulls r fighting real hrd
True. Bulls are fighting real hard but are weak. They are about to lose all OI gain in 5700. Fell from 10L to 4L now !!

Painful ending for bulls .... sad story :)

Waiting for a pullback to now add to Short positions.
 
Date : 20.3.2013

Yesterday we had suggested that downward trend may continue... a Whopping 46% liquidation of 5800 saw bulls running from cover. also nice build up in Call OI with 95% change in 5600-5800 calls. Expiry range seems to be 5700-5800

FII data suggests profits have been booked in shorts.Also a negative 21L shares liquidated in 5800 with -1700 cr in OI suggests FII have incurred some losses in 5800 call and have ran away with their langots

Lets see if this particular strangle works ..
sell 5800 CE @26.20, Sell 5700 PE @46.05 Total inflow 72

Expectations : Range bound between 5700-5800

 

jamit_05

Well-Known Member
It may be way too early to settle on a the expiry range. The way PEs got liquidated today a break of 5700 is very easy.

The charts look aggressively bearish. Till, atleast, two neutral bars are formed further fall is on the cards. Strong support, from the charts, lies only at 5600. Before 5600 they're house of cards.
 
Last edited:
Dear Option trader,

could you please provide me that excelsheet if possible ?

thanks in advance
spk

Date : 20.3.2013

Yesterday we had suggested that downward trend may continue... a Whopping 46% liquidation of 5800 saw bulls running from cover. also nice build up in Call OI with 95% change in 5600-5800 calls. Expiry range seems to be 5700-5800

FII data suggests profits have been booked in shorts.Also a negative 21L shares liquidated in 5800 with -1700 cr in OI suggests FII have incurred some losses in 5800 call and have ran away with their langots

Lets see if this particular strangle works ..
sell 5800 CE @26.20, Sell 5700 PE @46.05 Total inflow 72

Expectations : Range bound between 5700-5800

 
i am not able to understand that if profis were booked in shorts it sud be short covering price sud go up:confused:in nf 935 k contract were liquidated and price was down and oi dcreases does it not mean that loss was booked in long as todays price was most of the time was below yesterdays price. it means further downside
 
Last edited:
i am not able to understand that if profis were booked in shorts it sud be short covering price sud go up:confused:in nf 935 k contract were liquidated and price was down and oi dcreases does it not mean that loss was booked in long as todays price was most of the time was below yesterdays price. it means further downside
can someone clarify!!!!!!
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Similar threads