Anjan, I posted my chart and deleted yours, because I wanted to show you the nature of a TL break and how predictable future price action is going to be in the future.
First, depended on price action on Tuesday, the stochastics is going to be OS and curled under, showing the warning of a reversal. Price action is also getting close to a cluster support event, which aids in discerning the reversal point, along with using the stochastics to abet in the indication.
Your chart showed a weak break of the TL and consolidative active under it. The main component of a TL break is that price action is forceful, which is accompanied by a stronger than usual candle. That is your signal the trend is over within that TF.
My black TL's are always drawn off the 4-hour and the red off the weekly.
This is very important information, because it shows over coming days the market is going to go sideways before the big trend continues north.
We already had the reversal back to the point of the break on the weekly TL. That would suggest we are ready to move back north.
The problem is we had the break of the 4-hour TL which shows we are moving south. We are now waiting for the move north to correct the break of the TL, and then from the 4-hour perspective, it will reverse and head lower. After that is finished, we will be real close to the red TL (weekly) for the next strong move north.
This is conjecture, but if I had to guess, the weekly stochastics is only going to be around 40 <> when the market is ready to head back north.
One of the things ST has pointed out repeatedly is the importance of being aware of market conditions with regard to the stochastics. This is a time you do not want to wait for the stochastics on the weekly to be OS, because if you do, the market is going to leave without you.
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Dear ST,
Hope I am not asking any silly queries.
regards,
anjanbm