Could Corona Virus lead to a never before crash?

Raj232

Well-Known Member
India will be the worst-hit country by COVID-19 next year: The New York Times

As the cases surge high in India the public healthcare system is collapsing in India, The New York Times has warned in its report on how India might become the worst-hit nation by coronavirus


As the cases surge high in India the public healthcare system is collapsing in India, The New York Times has warned in its report on how India might become the worst-hit nation by coronavirus

As the virus spread goes faster in India, there is still much to be done by the government, India has been breaking the virus records with 1,155,100 confirmed cases, according to the Ministry of Health and Welfare. As of Tuesday morning, 28,084 people had died.
1. India witnesses a surge in virus spread with over 1.1 million cases and 28,084 deaths
The New York times has warned India of a worse phase in the coming time.This report is based on the data analysis of the coronavirus spread in India.

2. The New York Times has warned of a worse outbreak in India
Officials recorded at least 40,000 new coronavirus cases on Monday, marking India’s highest single-day total.
Infections in the country have jumped in recent weeks as a nationwide lockdown was lifted.

3. India recorded highest single day spike with 40,000 cases on Monday
Some states, including Tamil Nadu and Uttar Pradesh, reimposed restrictions to try to bring the virus under control.
Still, new hot spots seem to emerge faster than they can be contained

4. New hot spots seem to emerge faster than they can be contained
According to the New York Times, researchers at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology now estimate that India will be the world’s worst-hit country by the end of next year.

5. India will be world's worst hit country by the end of next year:Research
India, with over 1.1 million confirmed cases, now falls behind only the U.S., with 3.7 million, and Brazil, with two million. India’s caseload is on track to surpass Brazil’s.

6. India's caseload is going up fast and might surpass Brazil's in coming weeks.
According to the New York Times,India is one of many developing nations where leaders feel they have no choice but to prioritize reopenings and accept the risks of surging coronavirus infections. Yet its public health system is severely strained, and experts believe it is likely to reach a breaking point as Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government continues to ease a nationwide lockdown.

7. Coronavirus infections are surging high while the public health system is severely strained
Initially, the country took some of the strictest measures anywhere to slow the spread of the coronavirus, including placing all 1.3 billion citizens under a nationwide lockdown. But the measures were brutally hard on the poorest Indians.
8.The lockdown was brutally hard on the poorest Indians says the report.
Anxiety among people is rising as the caseload surges, and more people have complained that they have been unable to find hospital beds.India’s total caseload, which is over 767,000 now, has become the world’s third-largest.
9. Anxiety among people is rising as the caseload surges

Public health experts have warned that the country’s testing figures were still far too restricted. But capacity has been rising: On July 9, more than 267,000 samples were tested in 24 hours, taking the total number of samples tested so to 10,740,832.
10. Public health experts have warned that the country's testing figures are too far restricted
With an increased testing, the number of positive cases may go higher for India, experts suggest. The virus spread is getting deadlier and dangerous while the government is busy lauding itself
11. The virus spread is getting dangerously deadlier for India


https://www.nationalheraldindia.com...ntry-by-covid-19-next-year-the-new-york-times
 
India is around 50K per day, so any predictions about,
by when it will touch 100K (1 Lakh per day)


.
 

Raj232

Well-Known Member
India is around 50K per day, so any predictions about,
by when it will touch 100K (1 Lakh per day).

Doubling rate is around 15-20 days .... Currently the Tier 2 cities are in the infection stage.
By 15th to 20th August we might see 1L per day .. o_O .. I'm hoping i'm wrong and the spread is under control before that.
 
Doubling rate is around 15-20 days .... Currently the Tier 2 cities are in the infection stage.
By 15th to 20th August we might see 1L per day .. o_O .. I'm hoping i'm wrong and the spread is under control before that.

The ratio of people with anti-bodies (according to sero-surveys) and actual declared positive cases, seems to be 30-40 even 50 times

Although I am not sure about this statistics, is it safe to say for every one positive declared person,
35-40 more are getting exposed and thus getting some kind of immunity?

so now at 50K cases per day, 20L are getting immunized every day

At 1L cases per day this figure of people getting immunized will be 40-50 L per day


.
 

Raj232

Well-Known Member
jlkjh uiyti yti ut iuy uytiut iut iuytiu rtyruyr uy ruytr u uru uyruyt ruy
The ratio of people with anti-bodies (according to sero-surveys) and actual declared positive cases, seems to be 30-40 even 50 times

Although I am not sure about this statistics, is it safe to say for every one positive declared person,
35-40 more are getting exposed and thus getting some kind of immunity?

so now at 50K cases per day, 20L are getting immunized every day

At 1L cases per day this figure of people getting immunized will be 40-50 L per day


.
All the scientists and emidermologists etc said the R0 value was between 1.2 to 2 meaning that 1 person can infect 2 on an average. The sero surverys show that for every infection another 40 have antibodies :)
Again, the data is extremely strange ... nobody knows the truth ..
@ 20 L per day .. it will take approx 2 years for immunity for all (140 Crore population)
@ 50 L per day .. it will take approx 1 year for immunity for all (140 Crore population)
the exponential gowth will help it to be achieved faster ... lets see ...
 
jlkjh uiyti yti ut iuy uytiut iut iuytiu rtyruyr uy ruytr u uru uyruyt ruy
OK :DD

Seems something like the WHO explanations :)


@ 50 L per day .. it will take approx 1 year for immunity for all (140 Crore population)
the exponential growth will help it to be achieved faster ... lets see ...
They also say herd immunity should kick in at above 50%

so 6 more months of this madness

Hopefully in 2021 we will be beyond all this


.
 

Similar threads