A Strong Trading Mind

What do you want in this thread ?

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    Votes: 81 45.5%
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  • Insipirational Short Stories

    Votes: 56 31.5%
  • Inspirational Quotes

    Votes: 33 18.5%
  • Affirmations

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  • Total voters
    178

Catch22

Well-Known Member
Sir John Templeton Quotes

'Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria. The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell.'

'If you want to have a better performance than the crowd, you must do things differently from the crowd. '

'The four most dangerous words in investing are 'This time it's different'. '


 

Dax Devil

Well-Known Member
Sir John Templeton Quotes

'Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria. The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell.'

'If you want to have a better performance than the crowd, you must do things differently from the crowd. '

'The four most dangerous words in investing are 'This time it's different'. '


I guess there should be a mathematical formula to quantify this word Maximum. Every other guy uses it without bothering to tell its dimensions. It is as ambiguous as the statement of TV experts: Buy on dips... Dips? How deep? 2 pivots or 4 pivots deep?... And why not sell right here, right now, if it is going to dip? No answer...ever.
 

amitrandive

Well-Known Member
I guess there should be a mathematical formula to quantify this word Maximum. Every other guy uses it without bothering to tell its dimensions. It is as ambiguous as the statement of TV experts: Buy on dips... Dips? How deep? 2 pivots or 4 pivots deep?... And why not sell right here, right now, if it is going to dip? No answer...ever.
Maximum or Minimum cannot be quantified,it is like trying to predict Tops and Bottoms.

Some links for understanding what Sir John meant,

http://www.benzinga.com/trading-ide...ng-maximum-pessimism-not-what-you-might-think
http://thegrowingwallet.com/john-templeton-buying-at-the-point-of-maximum-pessimism/
 
Sir John Templeton Quotes

'Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria. The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell.'

'If you want to have a better performance than the crowd, you must do things differently from the crowd. '

'The four most dangerous words in investing are 'This time it's different'. '


great quote :thumb::thumb:
relating this with our current bull market we are in skepticism stage, few weeks back ppl were already talking about is this bull market over , sub 7800 levels, modi failing to bring in the changes, etc etc...ppl fail to understand that any change takes time and we are talking here about economy of a nation, even if this bull market has to fail it will take a lot of time and grinding.. imo we still have years of bull market left.
 

amitrandive

Well-Known Member
Maximum or Minimum cannot be quantified,it is like trying to predict Tops and Bottoms.

Some links for understanding what Sir John meant,

http://www.benzinga.com/trading-ide...ng-maximum-pessimism-not-what-you-might-think
http://thegrowingwallet.com/john-templeton-buying-at-the-point-of-maximum-pessimism/
great quote :thumb::thumb:
relating this with our current bull market we are in skepticism stage, few weeks back ppl were already talking about is this bull market over , sub 7800 levels, modi failing to bring in the changes, etc etc...ppl fail to understand that any change takes time and we are talking here about economy of a nation, even if this bull market has to fail it will take a lot of time and grinding.. imo we still have years of bull market left.
Fantastic post by Traderji on Market Cycles

http://www.traderji.com/trading-psy...arket-bull-bear-market-cycles-7.html#post8272

An anatomy of the Stock Market! - Bull & Bear Market Cycles

In financial markets, the �majority is always wrong.� When the investing majority or the crowd is overly bearish, this is the best time to be buying stocks. When the crowd is overly exuberant, this is the time to be selling stocks. The financial markets work in this ironic way because not everyone can win in the market.

The Start of a Bull Market

The bottom of the market starts at a time when the stock market is weak and the general population is pessimistic. At this point most investors sell after having endured a long and torturous bear market. This extreme pessimism found at a bottom is always irrational and undeserved. Now the market is undervalued and is a bargain. Savvy investors, the �smart money�, buy bargain stocks knowing that they will be able to sell them higher in the near future. Smart money buying, called accumulation, causes stocks to rise.

The smart money often consists of operators, and corporate insiders (promoters of companies). These traders have access to information that the general public does not.

Rising stocks eventually gain the respect of institutional investors, as billions of dollars of capital is introduced into the market place. Mutual fund investment causes the stock market to advance in a powerful manner. Much of the steady large trends are powered by institutional investors. After the stock market has gained, stocks are now fairly valued and are no longer considered bargains. The smart money is now sitting on a large profit, as well. The average investor is still skeptical, however.

As bull market events unfold, retail investors begin to take interest in stocks. Retail investors, or the unsophisticated little guy, make up the vast majority of investors. This group does not invest for a living. Retail investors often make investment decisions based on what they read in financial magazines, from their brokers and from tips from friends. As the flood of retail capital is invested, the market soars, causing great euphoria. At this point in the cycle, many companies become public, or launch an IPO. Companies go public when investor sentiment is most optimistic so as to gain the highest possible stock price. IPO�s generate even more optimism as unsophisticated investors buy into the fallacious thoughts of instant riches. Now is the time when many small investors become wealthy. In this phase, stocks are doubling and tripling as the media cheers on the advancing bull market.

At this point, the smart money sells, or distributes, the now overvalued stocks to overconfident retail investors. The smart money knows that overvalued stocks are no longer worthy investments, and will soon drop in value. Widespread greed always occurs, in some form, at stock market tops. Sometimes this greed takes form as stock market scams and fraud. These immoral activities can take place because irrational retail investors will buy a stock simply because it is glamorous. To compound the problems, investors will now start to use margin, or leverage, to further accelerate gains. All caution is thrown to the wind as investors think �the old rules don�t apply�.

The Start of a Bear Market

After mutual funds and retail investors are fully invested, the market is overbought. This means that there is no more cash to fuel the rally. The market can only go in one direction: down. All it takes is just a hint of negative news and the market collapses under its own weight. Investors quickly realize the market is made of smoke and mirrors, as frauds or other scams come to light.

When panic selling starts, a market will always fall quicker than it had risen. Oftentimes, as everyone heads for the exit at the same time, there isn�t anyone willing to buy the stock. This can be especially disastrous for margin users as they grow deeply indebted to their brokers. Bankruptcy is the usual result for these foolish gamblers. The majority of retail investors don�t sell even as the market is plummeting. This crowd keeps holding on to stocks in hopes that the market will recover. As the market plummets 25%, then 50% the average retail investor foolishly holds on, in complete denial that the bull market is over. Finally retail investors sell every stock they own plummeting the market even further. This mass exodus is called capitulation.

The Cycle Starts Again

It is at this point that stocks are undervalued once again. The smart money is accumulating and stocks rise. The majority of retail investors bought at the top and sold at the very bottom. This is the very essence of the �dumb money�. They are perpetually late into the game. This cycle continues over and over. Only the smart money actually �buys low and sells high�. After trading in this manner, the dumb money will adhere to adages such as, �the stock market is risky�. In reality, however, the stock market is only risky if you trade like the mindless majority!
__________________
Best Wishes!

Traderji
 

amitrandive

Well-Known Member
What will it cost you if you do not follow your dreams? By doing the soul-searching to answer this question, you will discover all of the wonderful things that you deserve in life that you will miss out on.

Get three pieces of paper. On one page, make a list of what it will cost you. On another page, make a list of the fears that are holding you back right now. On the last page, make a list of what actions you need to take to overcome each fear and the actions to take to create your dreams. Getting clarity provides the increased awareness necessary to do something about it. You Deserve!

Les Brown
 

amitrandive

Well-Known Member
Stay connected with people who inspire, nourish and bring out the best in you. It takes time to pull yourself together and to heal if you have been hurt, humiliated, or become emotionally broken because of what you have gone through. You can become disconnected with the real you and forget who you really are. It is necessary to read, listen and focus on positive things. Things that strengthen your mind, develop your confidence and fortify your spirit. Create a strategy that will allow you to rid your life of people whose only intention is to strip, destroy, or take you down.

Be aware that there are certain situations that are just not good for you. Make a conscious, deliberate effort to focus your mind exclusively on things that will build you up, give you hope and expand the possibilities in all dimensions of your life. You have the capacity and the ability to rebuild your life. What you have gone through can be used to develop another part of yourself. Stay connected with positive people with the knowledge that you will get through this. You have something special. You have GREATNESS within you!
Les Brown
 

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