HI
The big upward extension in gold prices last week seemingly turned around a number of technical indicators in gold and that could prompt an aggressive move to a new higher trading range. In addition to reversing the pattern of lower highs since the critical October high, the December gold contract also managed to dash ideas that gold was forming a top off the September through November head and shoulders formation. Given the sharp upward extension last week, we suspect that December gold will have little overhead resistance until another trend line is encountered up at $490. Using a measurement count off the September and October consolidation, our projection for the top of the new trading range is $505. Using up trending channel support lines, we see close-in support in December gold to be $474. Weekly resistance lines in gold would seem to project longer term upside targeting to be $535. However, in order to justify a rise to the upper targeting, the gold market must begin to show persistently increasing volume and open interest statistics. In other words, to fully verify a strong bull market mentality, it would certainly help to see daily trading volume hold consistently above 70,000 contracts.
Suggested Trading Strategy: Buy February gold at $478 with an initial objective of $499 and then again up at $505. Risk the position to a close below $473.50.
REGARDS
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