Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

#1
EURGBP Technical Breakdown and Fundamental Impacts

The EUR GBP forex pair, commonly referred to as “Chunnel,” represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the British Pound. This pair is a crucial indicator of economic relations between the Eurozone and the United Kingdom, making it a popular choice among forex traders. In today’s context, the EURGBP forex pair is influenced by various upcoming economic events and fundamental factors.
Fundamentally, the EUR/GBP pair might experience subtle fluctuations due to the low-impact economic news from the Eurozone. The Italian Industrial Production m/m is forecasted to grow by 0.3%, and a higher-than-expected figure could slightly strengthen the Euro. Similarly, the Sentix Investor Confidence index, with a forecast of -1.5, if it exceeds expectations, could boost investor sentiment towards the Euro. Additionally, a speech by German Buba President Joachim Nagel could provide insights into future ECB monetary policy, potentially affecting the Euro’s strength. However, given the low impact expected from these events, significant volatility is not anticipated unless there are unexpected remarks or data.
H4-Chart-analysis-on-EURGBP-for-10-06-2024.jpg

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

Analyzing the EUR/GBP H4 chart price, the recent candlestick patterns reveal a strong bearish momentum. The last five candles have moved sharply from the middle Bollinger Band towards the lower band, with the last three candles touching the lower band, indicating increased selling pressure. The Bollinger Bands have widened significantly, reflecting heightened market volatility and further bearish sentiment in EUR-GBP price. Additionally, the MACD indicator shows the MACD line crossing below the signal line, reinforcing the bearish trend. This technical setup suggests that the EUR/GBP pair is likely to continue its downward movement in the near term, barring any major fundamental shifts.

Capitalcore
 
#2
Potential Impact of Economic Data on EURUSD

The EUR/USD pair, commonly referred to as the "Fiber" in forex trading circles, is one of the most traded currency pairs in the world. This pair represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the U.S. dollar, reflecting the economic dynamics between the Eurozone and the United States. Observations from the latest H4 chart indicate that the EUR/USD may be poised for a bullish phase following a correction period, suggesting a strong potential for upward movement in the near term.
asl4.jpg

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

Upon closer examination of the price action, we can see that this pair has been consolidating within a descending triangle pattern, characterized by a clear resistance around the 1.0950 level and solid support at 1.0900. This pattern typically signals accumulation in technical analysis, where the price action tightens as the market prepares for a potential breakout. The recent behavior of the EUR/USD suggests that traders are possibly gearing up for a move higher, supported by increasing bullish momentum. The MACD indicator further underscores this perspective, with a bullish divergence emerging as the MACD line ascends toward the signal line, indicating growing strength in buying activity. Moreover, the RSI remains robust, positioned above 50 and trending higher, which highlights the persistence of bullish sentiment among traders. This combination of technical signals—particularly the bullish MACD divergence and the strong RSI—strongly points toward a forthcoming bullish breakout. Traders should monitor the 1.0950 resistance level closely; a convincing break above this could open the path to higher resistance levels, affirming the ongoing bullish trend in the EUR/USD market.

DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 
#3
Navigating GBP/USD with Technical Indicators

The GBP/USD forex pair, often referred to as "Cable," is a significant currency pair in the forex market, representing the exchange rate between the British pound sterling and the US dollar. Today, traders are closely monitoring a series of economic data releases from the UK, including GDP, trade balance, and manufacturing production figures. These indicators will provide insights into the UK's economic health, with higher-than-expected figures likely to bolster the pound, especially in light of ongoing concerns about the strength of the US dollar due to mixed economic signals from the US, including retail sales and jobless claims data.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

The H4 chart of GBP/USD pair reveals a complex technical scenario. The pair is currently navigating within a rising channel, though recent price action has seen a retracement from the upper Bollinger Band towards the middle band. This correction is evident after a sequence of five consecutive bearish candles. Despite this pullback, the price remains in an overall bullish trend, trading above key Fibonacci retracement levels between 0.618 (1.28790) and 0.5 (1.28292), which are acting as crucial support and resistance. The MACD histogram is showing signs of weakening momentum, but as long as the price stays within the rising channel and above the 0.618 Fibonacci level, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, a break below the lower channel line could signal a potential shift in market sentiment.

DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 
#4
NZDUSD Technical Outlook Amid Upcoming US Data

The NZD/USD, often referred to as the "Kiwi," represents the currency pair of the New Zealand Dollar against the US Dollar. The Kiwi is known for its correlation with commodities, especially dairy products, and is influenced by interest rate differentials between the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and the Federal Reserve (Fed). With upcoming significant economic data from both New Zealand and the US, including the US Treasury International Capital (TIC) report, US residential building permits, and speeches from central bank officials, the NZD/USD pair may experience heightened volatility. Traders should particularly focus on the RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr's speech and the US economic indicators, as better-than-expected data from the US could strengthen the US Dollar, pressuring the NZD/USD lower. Conversely, any hints of future monetary policy shifts from the RBNZ could support the Kiwi, making the pair more attractive.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h

Analyzing the NZD USD H4 chart, it’s clear that after a bullish trend over the past two weeks, the pair is currently struggling to maintain its upward momentum. The price is moving along the lower line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating potential bearish pressure, especially as the last 10 candles have shown a predominant bearish trend with 7 out of 10 being bearish. The price has retraced from the upper band down to the middle band and is now hovering between the lower and middle bands, with the Bollinger Bands widening slightly—a sign of increasing volatility. The MACD and histogram are also signaling bearish momentum, supported by the higher volume of red candles. Additionally, the price is trading between the 0.786 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a potential break below these levels could signal further downside. Traders should watch for a clear break below the lower Bollinger Band, which could indicate a continuation of the bearish trend.

DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 
#5
EURUSD H4 Technical Review Key Indicators and Price Action

The EUR/USD, often referred to as the "Fiber," is a highly traded currency pair that represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the US Dollar. It is one of the most liquid pairs in the forex market, known for its tight spreads and significant volatility during economic data releases. Today, market participants are keenly observing the upcoming remarks by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller and the release of the Leading Indicators from the Conference Board, both of which could provide crucial insights into the direction of U.S. monetary policy. If Waller’s remarks lean hawkish, we might see strength in the USD, which could weigh on the EUR/USD pair. Additionally, stronger-than-expected Leading Indicators could further bolster the dollar, adding downward pressure on the pair.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

In the H4 chart of EUR/USD, the price is currently in a bullish trend, moving upward from the middle Bollinger Band towards the upper band, demonstrating strong upward momentum with 6 out of the last 10 candles being bullish. The price is navigating between the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level and the 0.0 level, indicating potential resistance ahead. The RSI indicator, which is hovering around 66, suggests that the pair is nearing overbought conditions but still has some room for upward movement before it hits significant resistance.

DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 
#6
EUR/GBP Analysis: The "Chunnel" in Focus

The EUR/GBP pair, often referred to as the "Chunnel" due to its connection between Europe and the UK, is currently trading within a descending triangle pattern, signaling potential bearish momentum ahead. The price is hovering near the lower boundary of this triangle, which often serves as a crucial support level. The MACD indicator is showing signs of weakening momentum, with the histogram close to crossing into negative territory, suggesting that a bearish wave may be imminent. Additionally, the RSI is reacting to the 50 level, a critical point that often determines the next directional move. With the RSI showing potential to descend, the outlook for the EUR/GBP could lean bearish in the near term.
eurgbp.jpg

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Given this technical setup, traders should be cautious of a possible breakdown below the triangle’s support, which could lead to a significant decline in the EUR/GBP pair. This scenario would align with the broader bearish outlook indicated by both the MACD and RSI. As the pair navigates this critical juncture, those looking for “EUR/GBP price analysis,” “EUR/GBP prediction,” and “EUR/GBP price action” should monitor these key levels closely, as they may provide early signals of the next major move in this pair.

DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 
#7
GBPUSD H4: Bullish Momentum Above Ichimoku Cloud

The GBPUSD currency pair, commonly known as "Cable," is one of the most traded pairs in the forex market, representing the exchange rate between the British Pound (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD). Today, the market faces potential low liquidity due to the UK banks' closure in observance of the Summer Bank Holiday, possibly resulting in irregular volatility. On the other hand, the United States is set to release its Durable Goods Orders report, which could significantly influence the USD if the actual figures differ from forecasts, as higher-than-expected orders typically indicate increased manufacturing activity and economic strength.



Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

The GBPUSD H4 chart indicates a strong bullish trend, supported by multiple positive candles, with 8 out of the last 10 candles showing upward movement. The price is currently above the Ichimoku cloud, a sign of bullish momentum, and is situated between the 0.5 (1.30380) and 0.618 (1.32266) Fibonacci retracement levels. The recent price action shows a steady climb within a rising channel, highlighting the strength of this uptrend. The RSI is trending in the overbought region, around 81.44, suggesting strong buying interest, but also indicating potential for a short-term correction if profit-taking occurs. If the price manages to break above the 0.618 Fibonacci level, it could aim for the next resistance around the 0.786 Fibonacci level, at approximately 1.34951.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 
#8
Gold (XAU/USD) H4 Technical Analysis and Market Outlook

Gold, often referred to by its trading symbol XAU/USD, has recently surged to a new all-time high (ATH), capturing the attention of traders and investors worldwide. The H4 chart reveals an ascending triangle pattern, typically a bullish continuation pattern, suggesting potential for further upward movement. However, the price is currently testing the upper resistance line of this triangle around the $2,517 level, indicating a critical point where the market may decide on its next direction.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is positioned near 59, showing that the market is not yet overbought, providing room for further bullish action. Meanwhile, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) histogram is positive, with the MACD line trending above the signal line, both signs of sustained bullish momentum. The upcoming economic data releases today could influence gold’s price action, with traders closely watching for cues that could either confirm a breakout above the current resistance or a potential pullback towards support around the $2,460 level. These movements are crucial for those involved in gold price analysis, prediction, and tracking price action around its recent ATH.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 
#9
EUR/GBP: Key Support Levels in Focus

The EUR/GBP pair, commonly referred to as the "Chunnel," is a widely traded currency pair that represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the British Pound. Currently, this pair is experiencing a bearish trend, evident in its movement on the H4 chart. The price has been steadily declining, breaking below key Fibonacci retracement levels, with the 0.618 level at 0.84757 unable to hold as support. This downward movement is further confirmed by the MACD indicator, which shows negative divergence, with the MACD line below the signal line and histogram bars in negative territory. Additionally, the RSI is firmly in the oversold zone, around 20, indicating strong selling pressure, although it may also suggest that this bearish momentum could be overextended.
eurgbp 28.8.jpg

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)

• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Given this technical setup, the EUR/GBP pair is likely to face continued downward pressure unless there is a clear bullish reversal. Traders should keep an eye on critical support levels near 0.84293, where the price is currently consolidating. A decisive break below this support could lead to further declines, aligning with the bearish outlook highlighted by both the MACD and RSI indicators. For those following “EUR/GBP technical analysis,” “EUR/GBP bearish trend,” and “EUR/GBP support levels,” these indicators and price movements provide valuable insights into potential market behavior and trading opportunities.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 
#10
EUR/USD Price Action Analysis Ahead of Key Events

The EUR/USD forex pair, often referred to by its nickname "Fiber," is the most traded currency pair in the world, representing the exchange rate between the Euro (EUR) and the US Dollar (USD). Today’s fundamental analysis revolves around key upcoming events, including speeches from influential figures like Raphael Bostic of the Federal Reserve and Joachim Nagel of the Deutsche Bundesbank. These events are expected to provide insights into future monetary policies, with hawkish tones likely benefiting their respective currencies. Additionally, US economic data releases on GDP, unemployment claims, and trade balance will be closely monitored by traders for further indications on economic health and potential interest rate adjustments. Such fundamental factors can drive volatility in the EUR USD forex pair, making these announcements critical for intraday trading strategies.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.

The H4 chart of EURUSD, analyzed with Ichimoku Cloud, RSI, and Fibonacci retracement levels, indicates a consolidation phase after a recent downtrend. The price is currently moving between the 0 and 0.236 Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a corrective pullback. Following a touch of the 0.236 level, two bullish candles have emerged, indicating potential upward momentum. This recovery is further supported by the price trading above the Ichimoku Cloud, although it recently touched the upper cloud boundary before rebounding. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently showing a value below 50, signaling a lack of strong bullish momentum. If the price continues to hold above the Ichimoku cloud and breaks above the 0.236 Fibonacci level, a further move upwards could be anticipated, whereas a failure to do so may signal a continuation of the bearish trend.

• DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore
 

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